Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.487239 0.621937 0.767341 0.934039 1.118108 1.313602 1.535453
2025-03-30 0.285761 0.461234 0.671233 0.931305 1.236606 1.576974 1.979075
2025-04-06 0.178831 0.361212 0.599850 0.912951 1.295951 1.735981 2.268124
2025-04-13 0.128299 0.319351 0.589025 0.958596 1.423869 1.969181 2.638544
2025-04-20 0.093364 0.288457 0.584314 1.005147 1.547383 2.192788 2.993960
2025-04-27 0.069358 0.267185 0.587930 1.058833 1.677073 2.421910 3.354520
2025-05-04 0.057828 0.264776 0.616890 1.144922 1.846607 2.698460 3.770797
2025-05-11 0.042373 0.248252 0.621358 1.195528 1.969505 2.917474 4.118142
2025-05-18 0.025152 0.218084 0.599833 1.206922 2.039668 3.070441 4.385429
2025-05-25 0.007360 0.165076 0.531730 1.146032 2.010996 3.098205 4.499515
2025-06-01 0.000266 0.118862 0.464897 1.080191 1.970901 3.108148 4.589055
2025-06-08 NaN 0.091732 0.427334 1.054406 1.981926 3.180178 4.752340
2025-06-15 NaN 0.079559 0.420651 1.079814 2.068432 3.355105 5.051198
2025-06-22 NaN 0.063207 0.400404 1.082089 2.122744 3.489708 5.302068
2025-06-29 NaN 0.044958 0.368148 1.060802 2.141217 3.576023 5.491193
2025-07-06 NaN 0.042098 0.377585 1.110560 2.261637 3.795455 5.847001
2025-07-13 NaN 0.039600 0.387374 1.160717 2.382596 4.015658 6.203934
2025-07-20 NaN 0.038582 0.401555 1.218618 2.514923 4.250979 6.580124
2025-07-27 NaN 0.043229 0.435033 1.311203 2.698197 4.553681 7.041416
2025-08-03 NaN 0.041627 0.447135 1.365526 2.825571 4.782866 7.410412
2025-08-10 NaN 0.033961 0.436193 1.377746 2.890884 4.930019 7.676064
2025-08-17 NaN 0.018350 0.384725 1.312397 2.839654 4.921496 7.744155
2025-08-24 NaN 0.007298 0.333474 1.241605 2.776864 4.895219 7.787841